Match Info

Cymru South - Round 3

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Trethomas Bluebirds		Caerau Ely

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.45	1.80
	3.53	3.75	1.85
	3.67	3.76	1.88	Watch
	3.45	3.70	1.82
	3.57	4.09	1.84
	3.55	3.55	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (3.94)	3.72 ↓ (4.16)	1.83 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trethomas Bluebirds
25.7%

Draw
24.5%

Caerau Ely
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

21.8%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caerau Ely might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Parker T. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Rees O. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Hood J. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Parker T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 2 - 3, Bishop L. ⚽,
65', 2 - 4, Parker T. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Caerau is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Caerau Ely	9	5	1	3	21:18	3	16
10	Trethomas Bluebirds	9	2	4	3	17:17	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
07.08.26	Llanelli - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Barry Town United - Trethomas Bluebirds	5:1 ✺
23.06.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pen-y-Bont	0:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Baglan Dragons - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLT
- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
07.08.26	Caerau Ely - Ynyshir Albions	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Caerau Ely - Croesyceiliog	5:1 ✺
30.06.26	Caerau Ely - Cardiff Corries	0:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Pontypridd United - Caerau Ely	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
23.01.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	1:5
08.08.25	Caerau Ely - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1
21.02.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	1:0
26.08.24	Caerau Ely - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2

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