Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 15

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Caersws		Colwyn Bay

	1	X	2
	7	7	1.23
	6.53	7.08	1.22
	8.48	6.31	1.27	Watch
	10.1	6	1.2
	7	7	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.82 ↑ (4.93)	6.68 ↑ (4.57)	1.23 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caersws
11.7%

Draw
13.7%

Colwyn Bay
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

20%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

19.6%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caersws's form might have worsened.

Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colwyn Bay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caersws, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colwyn Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caersws - Colwyn Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', 1 - 0, Hesden R. ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, Forde S. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, Atkins D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
08.02.25	Mold Alexandra - Caersws	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Prestatyn Town - Caersws	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Caersws - Holywell Town	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Caersws - Gresford Athletic	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Caersws	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWLL
- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru North
08.02.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Colwyn Bay	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Flint Mountain - Colwyn Bay	1:5 ✺
17.01.25	Colwyn Bay - Buckley Town	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Colwyn Bay - Mold Alexandra	5:0 ✺
26.12.24	Bangor 1876 - Colwyn Bay	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWWW

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