Match Info

Cymru North - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Caersws		Rhyl

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.75	2.88
	2.04	4.08	2.87
	2.08	3.82	3.06	Watch
	2	3.6	2.75
	2.08	4.16	2.86
	2.05	3.75	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.32)	3.86 ↑ (3.62)	2.88 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caersws
44.7%

Draw
23.7%

Rhyl
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

24.8%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

25.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caersws has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caersws's performance.

Rhyl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhyl than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Caersws - Rhyl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Jones A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5).

In recent matches, Caersws has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rhyl is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Caersws may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Caersws has had a series of away games.

Caersws could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caersws won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Caersws FC	9	5	2	2	21:14	7	17
11	Rhyl	9	2	3	4	17:19	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
14.03.26	Holywell Town - Caersws	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Caersws - Airbus UK Broughton	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Brickfield Rangers - Caersws	3:1 ✺
04.02.26	Penrhyncoch - Caersws	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	Ruthin Town - Caersws	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWW
- CPD Y Rhyl 1879
Welsh Cymru North
17.03.26	Brickfield Rangers - Rhyl	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Flint Mountain - Rhyl	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
08.03.26	Rhyl - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
01.03.26	Rhyl - Ruthin Town	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Mold Alexandra - Rhyl	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
16.08.25	Rhyl - Caersws	3:0
Welsh League Cup
19.07.25	Rhyl - Caersws	2:1

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