Match Info

Cymru North - Round 14

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday


	Penrhyncoch		Caersws

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.48
	2.33	4	2.56
	2.47	3.84	2.47	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.45
	2.29	3.75	2.44
	2.3	3.8	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.3)	3.77 ↑ (3.75)	2.47 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penrhyncoch
39.1%

Draw
24.1%

Caersws
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

23.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

23%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Penrhyncoch - Caersws Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Penrhyncoch will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Penrhyncoch (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Penrhyncoch (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Penrhyncoch (2.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Penrhyncoch (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Penrhyncoch (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Kellaway G. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Jones A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Rowlands T. ⚽,
75+5', 1 - 3, Mclaughlin M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Penrhyncoch is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Caersws's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Penrhyncoch has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Penrhyncoch won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 3.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Penrhyncoch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Caersws FC	9	5	2	2	21:14	7	17
16	Penrhyncoch	10	0	1	9	4:30	-26	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
31.01.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Penrhyncoch - Brickfield Rangers	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Gresford Athletic - Penrhyncoch	3:2 ✺
31.12.25	Penrhyncoch - Ruthin Town	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Guilsfield - Penrhyncoch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWLTW
- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
30.01.26	Ruthin Town - Caersws	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Caersws - Holyhead Hotspur	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Caersws - Newtown	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Mold Alexandra - Caersws	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Caersws - Ruthin Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
01.03.25	Caersws - Penrhyncoch	1:2
18.02.25	Penrhyncoch - Caersws	4:1
Welsh Cymru Alliance
20.09.17	Caersws - Penrhyncoch	2:5

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