The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rhyl 8.8%
Draw 14.5%
Caernarfon Town 76.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.8%
22.1%
56.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.3%
22.6%
57.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rhyl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rhyl's form might have worsened.
Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caernarfon Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhyl than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rhyl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caernarfon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rhyl - Caernarfon Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Swindell A. (G) 5. Ali M. 10. Atkins D. 6. Hewitt R. 3. Holmes B. 11. Jones A. 4. Kemp T. 2. Lawrence B. 8. Lightfoot B. 7. Murray M. 9. Parry J.
1. Roberts C. (G) 19. Bradley S. 22. Cieslewicz A. 8. Gosset D. 24. Harrison K. 7. Mendes P. 5. Mooney P. 2. Owen M. 25. Roberts O. 10. Thomas D. 14. Young B.
Substitutes
15. Duffy S. 12. Farr J. 16. Fiedor O. 17. Foulkes J. 14. Kiwanda D. 18. Plesca S. 13. Salisbury-Williams H. (G)
11. Clarke Z. 9. Davies A. 3. Jones M. 6. Lewis I. 23. Lock J. 13. Thomas H. (G) 33. Williams C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Young B. ⚽,
59', Bradley S. 🟨,
59', 🟨,
60', Thomas D. ↓, Clarke Z. ↑,
60', Owen M. ↓, Lock J. ↑,
65', Holmes B. 🟨,
69', Parry J. ↓, Duffy S. ↑,
69', Atkins D. ↓, Kiwanda D. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Clarke Z. ⚽,
79', Kiwanda D. 🟨,
82', Bradley S. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
82', Jones A. ↓, Farr J. ↑,
82', Kemp T. ↓, Fiedor O. ↑,
89', Young B. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
90+2', Hewitt R. ↓, Foulkes J. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Rhyl is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Caernarfon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rhyl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Rhyl has had a series of home games.
In this match, Caernarfon is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rhyl won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Rhyl won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
United-kingdom
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Swindell A. (G) 
Ali M. 
Atkins D. 
Cieslewicz A. 
Mendes P. 
Kiwanda D. 
Plesca S. 
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