Match Info

Cymru North - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Holywell Town		Caersws

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.15	7.9
	1.24	6.45	7.75
	1.29	5.66	8.3	Watch
	1.25	5	8
	1.23	5.55	9.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.33)	5.56 ↑ (5.43)	8.22 ↑ (7.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holywell Town
72.5%

Draw
16.4%

Caersws
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

17.1%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

16.5%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holywell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Holywell Town aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Holywell Town - Caersws Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Breese J. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Breese J. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, Hewitt I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 3 - 1, Rowlands T. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holywell Town won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Holywell Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Holywell Town is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Holywell Town won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Holywell Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Caersws FC	9	5	2	2	21:14	7	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
06.03.26	Llandudno - Holywell Town	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Holywell Town - Denbigh Town	5:1 ✺
20.02.26	Buckley Town - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Gresford Athletic - Holywell Town	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Holywell Town - Mold Alexandra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLW
- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
07.03.26	Caersws - Airbus UK Broughton	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Brickfield Rangers - Caersws	3:1 ✺
04.02.26	Penrhyncoch - Caersws	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	Ruthin Town - Caersws	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Caersws - Holyhead Hotspur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
06.09.25	Caersws - Holywell Town	1:3
18.01.25	Caersws - Holywell Town	2:0
26.08.24	Holywell Town - Caersws	3:1
Welsh League Cup
20.07.24	Caersws - Holywell Town	0:1
Welsh Cymru North
03.02.24	Caersws - Holywell Town	1:2
Welsh League Cup
06.08.22	Caersws - Holywell Town	1:6

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