Match Info

Cymru North - Round 15

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Caersws		Ruthin Town

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.25
	1.89	3.86	3.35
	1.95	3.94	3.31	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.2
	1.94	3.62	3.22
	1.86	3.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.8)	3.71 ↓ (4.2)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caersws
47.6%

Draw
24.5%

Ruthin Town
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

21.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

20%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ruthin Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruthin Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Caersws - Ruthin Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Caersws (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caersws (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Jones L. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Rowlands T. ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, Rowlands T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 3 - 1, Giblin J. ⚽,
81', 4 - 1, Rowlands T. ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 1, Page C. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).

In recent matches, Caersws has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ruthin Town's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Caersws may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Caersws might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caersws won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Caersws won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
06.12.25	Flint Mountain - Caersws	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Caersws - Gresford Athletic	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Buckley Town - Caersws	4:3 ✺
25.10.25	Caersws - Guilsfield	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Llandudno - Caersws	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLTL
- Ruthin Town
Welsh Cymru North
05.12.25	Ruthin Town - Holyhead Hotspur	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Ruthin Town - Brickfield Rangers	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Ruthin Town	4:0 ✺
31.10.25	Ruthin Town - Mold Alexandra	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Denbigh Town - Ruthin Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
28.09.24	Ruthin Town - Caersws	1:1
10.08.24	Caersws - Ruthin Town	2:1
09.03.24	Ruthin Town - Caersws	1:2
26.08.23	Caersws - Ruthin Town	5:1
Welsh Cymru Alliance
07.05.18	Caersws - Ruthin Town	1:0

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