Match Info

Cymru North - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Denbigh Town		Ruthin Town

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.95	5.15
	1.42	4.97	5.12
	1.52	4.84	4.72	Watch
	1.41	4.75	5.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.52)	4.88 ↑ (4.84)	5.15 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denbigh Town
63.5%

Draw
18.7%

Ruthin Town
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

19.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

18.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ruthin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruthin Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Denbigh Town - Ruthin Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Denbigh Town (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Martin H. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Morris O. L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 1 - 2, Dafydd G. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, Brown N. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).

Denbigh Town is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ruthin Town has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Denbigh Town has had a series of away games.

In this match, Denbigh Town is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denbigh Town won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Denbigh Town won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
11.10.25	Guilsfield - Denbigh Town	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Denbigh Town - Rhyl	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Newtown - Denbigh Town	4:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
24.09.25	Porthmadog - Denbigh Town	3:2 penalties ✺
Welsh League Cup
16.09.25	Llandudno - Denbigh Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Ruthin Town
Welsh Cymru North
11.10.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Ruthin Town	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Ruthin Town - Guilsfield	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Flint Mountain - Ruthin Town	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Ruthin Town - Llandudno	1:3 ✺
05.09.25	Ruthin Town - Rhyl	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
22.02.25	Ruthin Town - Denbigh Town	1:1
26.12.24	Denbigh Town - Ruthin Town	2:2
01.01.24	Ruthin Town - Denbigh Town	4:0
26.12.23	Denbigh Town - Ruthin Town	2:1
Welsh Cymru Alliance
21.08.18	Ruthin Town - Denbigh Town	2:1

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