Match Info

Cymru North - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Buckley Town		Caersws

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	5.7
	1.62	4.50	4.31	Watch
	1.47	4.91	5.42
	1.4	4.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.62)	4.72 ↑ (4.5)	5.36 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buckley Town
63.1%

Draw
19.6%

Caersws
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

20.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

20.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buckley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buckley Town's performance.

Caersws has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buckley Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caersws than the current prediction. (+4%)

Buckley Town - Caersws Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Guest B. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Mclaughlin M. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Ellis L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
62', 3 - 1, Bellis A. ⚽,
69', 3 - 2, Harries A. ⚽,
71', 4 - 2, Littler C. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 3, Cottam H. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

Buckley Town is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Caersws is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Buckley Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Buckley Town is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Buckley Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Buckley Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buckley Town
Welsh Cymru North
24.10.25	Buckley Town - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Gresford Athletic - Buckley Town	0:7 ✺
03.10.25	Buckley Town - Newtown	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Mold Alexandra - Buckley Town	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWWWT
- Caersws FC
Welsh Cymru North
25.10.25	Caersws - Guilsfield	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Llandudno - Caersws	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Caersws - Flint Mountain	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Caersws	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Caersws	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
25.03.25	Buckley Town - Caersws	2:4
12.10.24	Caersws - Buckley Town	3:0
27.01.24	Buckley Town - Caersws	2:1

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