Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	Cafetaleros de Chiapas		Celaya

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.75
	2.55	2.8	2.8
	2.47	2.8	2.72
	2.63	2.86	2.93
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.56	3.01	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.17)	2.95 ↓ (3.18)	2.85 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cafetaleros de Chiapas
37%

Draw
31%

Celaya
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

20.8%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cafetaleros de Chiapas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cafetaleros de Chiapas than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cafetaleros de Chiapas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cafetaleros de Chiapas - Celaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cafetaleros de Chiapas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
14.02.20	Atlante - Cafetaleros de Chiapas	2:1 ✺
08.02.20	Cafetaleros de Chiapas - Leones Negros UdeG	1:3 ✺
01.02.20	Correcaminos UAT - Cafetaleros de Chiapas	3:2 ✺
Copa Mexico
29.01.20	Monarcas Morelia - Cafetaleros de Chiapas	4:0 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.01.20	Cafetaleros de Chiapas - Mineros de Zacatecas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.02.20	Celaya - Mineros de Zacatecas	0:1 ✺
07.02.20	Venados - Celaya	1:0 ✺
01.02.20	Zacatepec Siglo - Celaya	3:1 ✺
Copa Mexico
29.01.20	Monterrey - Celaya	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.01.20	Celaya - Atlante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
02.11.19	Celaya - Cafetaleros de Chiapas	3:0
31.03.19	Celaya - Cafetaleros de Chiapas	1:1
27.10.18	Cafetaleros de Chiapas - Celaya	2:0
03.02.18	Cafetaleros de Chiapas - Celaya	3:2
26.08.17	Celaya - Cafetaleros de Chiapas	2:1
25.02.17	Celaya - Cafetaleros de Chiapas	2:3
17.09.16	Cafetaleros de Chiapas - Celaya	3:2

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