Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 36

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Cagliari U20		Lecce U20

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.55	2
	2.82	3.6	2.13
	3.63	3.99	1.84	Watch
	3.41	3.7	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.7)	3.71 ↓ (4.07)	1.96 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari U20
28.5%

Draw
24.7%

Lecce U20
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

22.9%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

22.3%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Lecce U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lecce U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari U20 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce U20 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecce U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cagliari U20 - Lecce U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kehayov A. (G) 13. Cogoni A. 7. Costa L. . Franke A. 36. Grandu N. 27. Liteta J. 40. Malfitano R. 77. Marini M. A. 90. Sugamele A. 37. Trepy Y. 5. Tronci L.	1. Penev P. (G) 17. Di Pasquale A. 99. Esposito P. 18. Flies J. 7. Laerke H. 74. Longo F. 5. Pehlivanov C. 2. Rashidi W. 4. Scott E. 39. Skovgaard B. 14. Spinelli N.
Substitutes
. Auseklis H. (G) 21. Cardu G. A. 4. Doppio A. 23. Goryanov K. 11. Hamdaoua N. 3. Lo Verde G. 65. Mehlstrand Skjold W. 73. Nunn J. 8. Pibiri A. 15. Prettenhoffer M. 32. Russo A.	31. Basile C. 41. Buzzerio M. 25. Kozarac H. 50. Lucarella A. 24. Lupo C. (G) . Mariano C. 51. Marrocco I. 11. Onyemachi D. 77. Palmieri A. 27. Persano E. 8. Staszak W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Malfitano R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, Sugamele A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Primavera 1 (Play Out: ) and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Lecce U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cagliari U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Cagliari U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cagliari U20	5	2	1	2	8:12	-4	7
14	Lecce U20	5	0	4	1	8:9	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari U20
Italian Primavera 1
26.04.26	Milan U20 - Cagliari U20	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Cagliari U20 - Cesena U20	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Frosinone U20 - Cagliari U20	1:4 ✺
04.04.26	Cagliari U20 - Parma U20	5:1 ✺
22.03.26	Cagliari U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 LWWWL
- Lecce U20
Italian Primavera 1
26.04.26	Lecce U20 - Verona U20	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Inter U20 - Lecce U20	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lecce U20 - Genoa U20	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Milan U20 - Lecce U20	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Lecce U20 - Atalanta U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
23.11.25	Lecce U20 - Cagliari U20	0:1
29.03.25	Cagliari U20 - Lecce U20	2:2
04.01.25	Lecce U20 - Cagliari U20	3:0

Cagliari U20 - Lecce U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide