Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 31

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Primavera TV


	Cagliari U20		Fiorentina U20

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.45	1.92
	3.3	3.55	1.94
	3.34	3.72	2	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2
	3.39	3.7	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.1)	3.53 ↑ (3.25)	1.97 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari U20
27.8%

Draw
25.8%

Fiorentina U20
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

27.2%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

26.8%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Fiorentina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari U20 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Cagliari U20 - Fiorentina U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kehayov A. (G) 18. Raterink O. 13. Cogoni A. 27. Franke A. 36. Grandu N. 40. Malfitano R. 5. Tronci L. 38. Sulev I. 32. Russo A. 37. Trepy Y. 31. Mendy P.	30. Fei G. (G) 72. Sturli E. 67. Sadotti E. 23. Kospo E. 19. Trapani N. 16. Keita B. 8. Deli L. 47. Montenegro L. 10. Puzzoli G. 80. Atzeni D. 61. Braschi R.
Substitutes
21. Cardu G. A. 7. Costa L. 23. Goryanov K. 11. Hamdaoua N. 77. Marini M. A. 75. Mawassa Nkazi E. 8. Pibiri A. 15. Prettenhoffer M. 30. Roguski S. 34. Sarno V. (G) 90. Sugamele A.	63. Bonanno P. 31. Conti G. 1. Dolfi B. (G) 33. Evangelista C. 18. Jallow S. 14. Kone M. 28. Mazzeo B. 12. Mazzi T. (G) 15. Perrotti A. 6. Turnone N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Primavera 1 (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cagliari U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cagliari U20 has had a series of home games.

Fiorentina U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cagliari U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Cagliari U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cagliari U20	5	2	1	2	8:12	-4	7
18	Fiorentina U20	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Fiorentina U20 - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.24%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari U20
Italian Primavera 1
08.03.26	Cagliari U20 - Monza U20	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Torino U20 - Cagliari U20	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Cagliari U20 - Cremonese U20	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Cagliari U20 - Inter U20	2:2 ✺
26.01.26	Cagliari U20 - Sassuolo U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLTT
- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
16.03.26	Fiorentina U20 - Roma U20	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Fiorentina U20 - Bologna U20	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Cesena U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Fiorentina U20 - Lazio U20	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Verona U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
21.12.25	Fiorentina U20 - Cagliari U20	0:1
15.02.25	Fiorentina U20 - Cagliari U20	2:0
23.12.24	Cagliari U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:0

Cagliari U20 - Fiorentina U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide