Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 27

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Cailungo		Pennarossa

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.02
	3.31	3.42	1.93
	3.36	3.53	1.98	Watch
	3.3	3.1	1.95
	3.39	3.4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.6)	3.34 ↓ (3.7)	1.97 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cailungo
27.2%

Draw
27%

Pennarossa
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

24.8%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

23.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cailungo's form might have worsened.

Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pennarossa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cailungo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pennarossa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cailungo - Pennarossa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Pintore M. ⚽, Santi F. (A),
51', 0 - 2, Gregori E. ⚽, Pintore M. (A),
88', 1 - 2, Bua A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 3.

Cailungo has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pennarossa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cailungo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cailungo	4	1	0	3	4:5	-1	3
14	Pennarossa	4	1	0	3	7:16	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Cailungo
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.03.26	Cosmos - Cailungo	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cailungo - Fiorentino	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Tre Fiori - Cailungo	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Cailungo - Domagnano	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	San Giovanni - Cailungo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SS Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.03.26	Pennarossa - Murata	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	La Fiorita - Pennarossa	5:0 ✺
07.03.26	Pennarossa - AC Libertas	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	San Marino Academy U22 - Pennarossa	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Pennarossa - Folgore	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
07.12.25	Pennarossa - Cailungo	2:0
18.04.25	Cailungo - Pennarossa	7:0
22.12.24	Pennarossa - Cailungo	0:4
09.03.24	Pennarossa - Cailungo	0:2
26.11.23	Cailungo - Pennarossa	0:0
05.03.23	Pennarossa - Cailungo	3:0
22.10.22	Cailungo - Pennarossa	2:1

Cailungo - Pennarossa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide