The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pennarossa 46.4%
Draw 25.8%
San Giovanni 27.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.9%
25.8%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
24.6%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pennarossa's performance.
San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Giovanni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Pennarossa - San Giovanni Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, D'orsi L. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Guida G. ⚽,
34', Zanni M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Osmani S. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, Mema M. ⚽,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 14th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Pennarossa has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:16 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pennarossa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:11 goals (averaging 1.6:2.2 per game).
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