Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 6

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Pennarossa		San Giovanni

	1	X	2
	4.27	4.63	1.5
	4.67	4.73	1.50	Watch
	5.57	4.55	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (4.67)	4.64 ↓ (4.73)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pennarossa
18.8%

Draw
19.6%

San Giovanni
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

19.4%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

18.7%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

San Giovanni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1.

Recent form of Pennarossa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Giovanni has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

San Giovanni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Giovanni is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
05.10.25	Tre Penne - Pennarossa	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Faetano - Pennarossa	1:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
24.09.25	Pennarossa - Tre Fiori	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.09.25	Pennarossa - Virtus	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Fiorentino - Pennarossa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 LWTLL
- SS San Giovanni
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
03.10.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	1:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:2 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
20.09.25	San Giovanni - Fiorentino	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Tre Fiori - San Giovanni	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
02.11.24	Pennarossa - San Giovanni	0:5
16.12.23	Pennarossa - San Giovanni	0:3
22.01.23	San Giovanni - Pennarossa	1:1
03.09.22	Pennarossa - San Giovanni	4:0
06.04.22	San Giovanni - Pennarossa	1:1
18.09.17	San Giovanni - Pennarossa	0:1
05.04.17	Pennarossa - San Giovanni	2:2

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