Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Heroes de San Ramon (Cajamarca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cajamarca		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.08	3.20	3.45	Watch
	2.21	3.20	3.45
	2.06	3.26	3.7	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.40
	2.19	3.14	3.36	Watch
	2.20	3.10	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.32)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	3.35 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
43%

Draw
29.3%

Atlético Grau
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.6%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

29.9%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Cajamarca - Atlético Grau Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Medina J. (G) 25. Goyoneche P. 26. Timana H. 95. Vilchez Y. 31. Enciso S. 20. Meza C. 18. Orejuela J. G. (C) 88. Aubert E. 17. Palacios B. 77. Lugo J. 11. Arrasco M.	1. Alvarez P. (C) 4. Rodriguez D. 27. Tapia R. 2. Acevedo L. 6. Rodas E. 66. de la Cruz A. 5. Guarderas R. 10. de la Cruz P. 7. Barreto D. 96. Benites Vargas L. E. 99. Fernandez A.
Substitutes
12. Aspajo S. (G) 9. Cejas P. 13. Correa Flores C. A. 14. Gutierrez A. 2. Posito Olazabal A. J. 6. Rasmussen M. 8. Sandoval V. 5. Suarez R. 21. Vega J.	25. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 33. Calderon A. (G) 21. Correa E. 77. Da Luz M. 15. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 24. Ruidiaz Y. 3. Tapia I. 20. Vasquez A. 8. Vasquez C.
Coaches
Ayala Gavilan C. R.	Ameli G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Palacios B. ⚽, Arrasco M. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Alvarez P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Da Luz M. ↑,
55', Timana H. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Acevedo L. ⚽, Barreto D. (A),
57', Fernandez A. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
62', Aubert E. ↓, Correa Flores C. A. ↑,
62', Lugo J. ↓, Cejas P. ↑,
62', Meza C. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
67', Barreto D. ↓, Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↑,
67', de la Cruz P. ↓, Vasquez C. ↑,
68', Lavandeira Hernandez P. 🟨,
82', 1 - 3, Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Palacios B. ↓, Sandoval V. ↑,
84', Timana H. ↓, Posito Olazabal A. J. ↑,
88', Orejuela J. G. 🟨,
90+2', Guarderas R. ↓, Correa E. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

Cajamarca has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Grau has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cajamarca will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cajamarca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Grau	11	5	2	4	14:13	1	17
13	FC Cajamarca	11	3	2	6	18:24	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
16.08.26	Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes	2:3 ✺
09.08.26	FBC Melgar - Cajamarca	2:4 ✺
01.08.26	Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Cajamarca - Juan Pablo II College	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWLLT
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
14.08.26	Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Juan Pablo II College - Atlético Grau	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Atlético Grau - Sport Boys	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sport Huancayo - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
06.03.26	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	1:0

Cajamarca - Atlético Grau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide