The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cajamarca 22.8%
Draw 28.1%
Universitario de Deportes 49.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20%
27.2%
52.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.5%
26.5%
54.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+5%)
Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Aspajo S. (G) 5. Suarez R. 2. Posito Olazabal A. J. 95. Vilchez Y. 31. Enciso S. 20. Meza C. 13. Correa Flores C. A. 18. Orejuela J. G. (C) 6. Rasmussen M. 17. Palacios B. 11. Arrasco M.
1. Romero D. (G) 2. Fara C. 4. Santamaria A. 5. Di Benedetto M. 15. Requena J. 24. Polo A. (C) 28. Quiroz A. 17. Concha J. 33. Inga C. 20. Valera A. 18. Lapadula G.
Substitutes
88. Aubert E. 27. Betancourt J. 44. Gomez C. 25. Goyoneche P. 14. Gutierrez A. 77. Lugo J. 3. Medina J. (G) 26. Timana H. 21. Vega J.
30. Alzugaray L. 10. Calcaterra H. 29. Corzo A. 8. Fertoli H. 23. Murrugarra J. 39. Quispe Cordova P. A. 11. Rivera J. 3. Riveros W. 25. Vargas M. (G)
Coaches
Ayala Gavilan C. R.
Cuper H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
17', Vilchez Y. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Inga C. ⚽, Lapadula G. (A),
29', 0 - 2, Valera A. ⚽, Inga C. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Rasmussen M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Posito Olazabal A. J. 🟨,
61', 1 - 3, Lapadula G. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Rasmussen M. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
65', Correa Flores C. A. ↓, Aubert E. ↑,
65', Meza C. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
69', Suarez R. 🟨,
71', Valera A. 🟨,
72', Concha J. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
72', Requena J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
80', Lapadula G. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
80', Murrugarra J. 🟨,
81', Orejuela J. G. 🟨,
86', Santamaria A. 🟥,
88', 2 - 3, Lugo J. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Valera A. ↓, Riveros W. ↑,
90', Quiroz A. ↓, Fertoli H. ↑,
Preview
Cajamarca is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Uni de Deportes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Uni de Deportes is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cajamarca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.