Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Calamonte		Trujillo

	1	X	2
	1.84	3.3	3.9
	1.9	3.1	3.85
	1.9	3.23	3.99	Watch
	1.84	3.28	4
	1.84	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.8)	3.24 ↓ (3.38)	3.93 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamonte
48.8%

Draw
28.1%

Trujillo
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

19.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Trujillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calamonte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trujillo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Calamonte - Trujillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Calamonte won 2.

Calamonte is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trujillo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Calamonte is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Calamonte won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:12 (average 1.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Calamonte won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calamonte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.02.25	Pueblonuevo - Calamonte	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Calamonte - Puebla de la Calzada	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	CD Extremadura - Calamonte	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	Calamonte - Jaraíz	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Calamonte - Arroyo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLL
- CF Trujillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.02.25	Trujillo - Montijo	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Villafranca - Trujillo	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Trujillo - Moralo	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Diocesano - Trujillo	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Azuaga - Trujillo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.02.24	Calamonte - Trujillo	2:0
01.10.23	Trujillo - Calamonte	1:1
02.04.23	Trujillo - Calamonte	0:2
04.12.22	Calamonte - Trujillo	1:2
06.03.22	Calamonte - Trujillo	2:3
31.10.21	Trujillo - Calamonte	0:0
09.05.21	Calamonte - Trujillo	0:3

Calamonte - Trujillo