Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Villafranca		Trujillo

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.6	7.25
	1.41	4.2	6.6
	1.27	4.82	9
	1.4	4.27	7.25
	1.49	4.19	6.29
	1.43	4.1	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.56)	4.36 ↑ (3.65)	7.13 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villafranca
66.1%

Draw
21%

Trujillo
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.9%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.8%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villafranca's performance.

Trujillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Villafranca - Trujillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Aaron ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 2 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.01.25	Villafranca - Puebla de la Calzada	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Villafranca - CD Extremadura	0:2 ✺
22.12.24	Jaraíz - Villafranca	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Villafranca - Arroyo	4:0 ✺
11.12.24	Calamonte - Villafranca	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLWW
- CF Trujillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.01.25	Trujillo - Moralo	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Diocesano - Trujillo	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Azuaga - Trujillo	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Badajoz - Trujillo	4:0 ✺
07.12.24	Pueblonuevo - Trujillo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.01.24	Trujillo - Villafranca	1:0
06.04.23	Villafranca - Trujillo	3:1
11.12.22	Trujillo - Villafranca	2:1
20.03.22	Villafranca - Trujillo	0:0

Villafranca - Trujillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide