Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 6

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Location: Campo da Mata (Caldas da Rainha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Caldas		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.27	3.37	3.17
	2.24	3.37	3.11	Watch
	2.19	3.22	3.04
	2.2	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.34)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	3.04 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldas
41.4%

Draw
28.3%

Sporting Lisbon B
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

29.6%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Luis Paulo (G) 6. Militao T. 30. Monteiro E. 13. Dias R. 2. Yordy Marcelo 5. Pepo 16. Lopez K. 20. Rafa Pinto 8. Clemente D. 10. Januario 11. Velosa M.	74. Pires G. (G) 73. Felicissimo E. 95. Taibo Dominguez L. 66. Alves M. 78. Couto M. 88. Mendonca M. 96. Justo S. 77. Besugo R. 52. Simoes J. 82. Silva G. 90. Moreira A.
Substitutes
22. Alexandre R. 12. Almeida D. (G) 17. Barreiras G. 27. Duarte G. 7. Farinha L. 77. Lopes D. 4. Santos D. 24. Sousa J. 14. Viegas E.	67. Anjos L. 49. Barroso L. 54. Bruno Ramos 89. Cardoso N. 80. Gomes L. 59. Kaua Oliveira 84. Migueis P. (G) 71. Santos D. 44. Silva P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Couto M. ⚽,
14', Januario 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Januario ⚽,
40', Felicissimo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Januario 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Silva G. ⚽,
63', Felicissimo E. ↓, Barroso L. ↑,
63', Rafa Pinto ↓, Farinha L. ↑,
66', Farinha L. 🟨,
71', Yordy Marcelo ↓, Alexandre R. ↑,
73', Silva G. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
74', Couto M. ↓, Santos D. ↑,
79', Clemente D. ↓, Barreiras G. ↑,
79', Pepo ↓, Lopes D. ↑,
80', Velosa M. ↓, Sousa J. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caldas won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Caldas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Caldas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Caldas won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Caldas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caldas
Taça de Portugal
08.09.24	Caldas - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
01.09.24	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Caldas - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Covilhã - Caldas	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Caldas - SC Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLW
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
01.09.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
18.08.24	União de Santarém - Sporting Lisbon B	3:0 ✺
11.08.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Covilhã - Sporting Lisbon B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
30.03.24	Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0
09.03.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Caldas	3:0
14.01.24	Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0
30.09.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Caldas	1:3
11.03.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Caldas	3:2
03.12.22	Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2
18.12.21	Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0

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