Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académica Coimbra		Caldas

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.3	3.65
	1.90	3.46	3.83	Watch
	1.94	3.67	3.56	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.88)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)	3.71 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
48.5%

Draw
26.8%

Caldas
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Académica Coimbra - Caldas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Alves C. (G) 11. Farias E. 3. Teixeira R. 4. Silva G. 15. Kaka 6. Montez A. 9. Barbosa N. 17. Marcos Paulo 5. Silva L. (C) 28. Cascavel 18. Cuba	1. Soares W. (G) 3. Pires Gomes J. R. 14. Maneta D. 66. Carreira R. 10. Januario 4. Pipo 6. Palmerio M. 8. Clemente D. 11. Velosa M. 33. Tarzan (C) 5. Pepo
Substitutes
21. Candeias D. 12. Gabriel Passos 23. Karseladze J. 1. Macedo N. (G) 10. Pereira N. 93. Souza B. 7. Tiago Andre 14. Triana C.	7. Alexandre R. 12. Almeida D. (G) 23. Catarino T. 9. Chaves G. 87. Ewandro Santos 25. Farinha L. 79. Gata J. 77. Lopes D. 2. Yordy Marcelo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Palmerio M. 🟨,
23', Montez A. 🟨,
29', Pires Gomes J. R. 🟨,
36', Maneta D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Palmerio M. ↓, Yordy Marcelo ↑,
51', Yordy Marcelo 🟨,
52', Januario 🟨,
62', Velosa M. ↓, Chaves G. ↑,
64', Farias E. 🟨,
66', Silva G. 🟨,
69', Cuba ↓, Candeias D. ↑,
69', Montez A. ↓, Pereira F. ↑,
75', Januario ↓, Alexandre R. ↑,
82', Farias E. 🟨,
84', Barbosa N. ↓, Pereira N. ↑,
84', Cascavel ↓, Triana C. ↑,
85', Pires Gomes J. R. ↓, Lopes D. ↑,
85', Clemente D. ↓, Gata J. ↑,
90+5', Pipo 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 2.

Académica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Caldas is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Académica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Académica is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Académica won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Académica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
26.10.25	Amora - Académica Coimbra	3:3 ✺
11.10.25	Lusitano GC - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Académica Coimbra - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Académica Coimbra - Belenenses	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLWW
- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
26.10.25	Caldas - Lusitano GC	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Caldas - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
04.10.25	Belenenses - Caldas	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Caldas - Mafra	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
25.04.25	Caldas - Académica Coimbra	0:4
22.02.25	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	1:2
12.01.25	Caldas - Académica Coimbra	1:1
28.09.24	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	2:3
07.01.24	Caldas - Académica Coimbra	1:2
17.09.23	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	0:1
29.04.23	Caldas - Académica Coimbra	0:2

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