Match Info

Date: 11 September 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Caldense		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	2.75
	2.35	3.2	2.7
	2.37	3	2.65
	2.48	2.85	2.81
	2.38	3	2.7
	2.46	3.1	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.43)	3.01 ↑ (2.93)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldense
37.3%

Draw
29.8%

Aparecidense
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

30.6%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caldense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aparecidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

1st leg.

Caldense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aparecidense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Caldense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Caldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Caldense
Brazilian Serie D
05.09.21	Caldense - Rio Branco AC ES	1:2 ✺
28.08.21	Ferroviária - Caldense	3:1 ✺
21.08.21	Caldense - Boa Esporte	0:1 ✺
14.08.21	Uberlândia - Caldense	2:3 ✺
07.08.21	Caldense - Patrocinense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWT
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie D
04.09.21	Nova Mutum - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
28.08.21	Aparecidense - Gama	2:1 ✺
21.08.21	Aparecidense - Goianésia	4:1 ✺
14.08.21	Jaraguá - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
07.08.21	Porto Velho - Aparecidense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
06.09.15	Caldense - Aparecidense	0:0
18.07.15	Aparecidense - Caldense	0:1

Caldense - Aparecidense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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