Match Info

Baiano - Round 8

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Vitória Salvador		Bahia de Feira

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.75	5.25
	1.3	4.75	9.2
	1.3	4.59	9.69
	1.32	4.48	9.12	Watch
	1.3	4	10
	1.26	4.55	11.3
	1.28	5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.47)	4.45 ↑ (3.75)	9.37 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
69.5%

Draw
20.7%

Bahia de Feira
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

24.5%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

24.3%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória Salvador's performance.

Bahia de Feira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia de Feira than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Vitória Salvador - Bahia de Feira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 44. Baralhas 95. Caique Goncalves 4. Camutanga 6. Emmanuel Martinez 33. Erick 10. Matheuzinho 45. Nathan Mendes 77. Neris 13. Ramon 79. Renato Kayzer	12. Alan (G) 14. Brendon 2. da Silva Freire M. V. 22. Dodo 4. Dudu 15. Elivelton 16. Guilherme Bastos 8. Junior Santos 10. Ronan . Vitinho 6. Wellington Cezar
Substitutes
17. Cantalapiedra A. 26. Edenilson 23. Fabricio 20. Lucas Silva 7. Marinho 98. Matheusinho 11. Osvaldo 8. Ronald Lopes 41. Wendell Santos 71. Yuri (G) 55. Ze Breno	17. Alex Cazumba 11. Arthur Martins 20. Fabricio Neguinho 24. Gui Baiano 23. Janilson (G) 18. Johnata 7. Lucas Santos 21. Marcos Vinicius 3. Matheus Recife 1. Milton Raphael (G) 5. Pedrao 13. Wander

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Guilherme Bastos 🟨,
37', Neris 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vitinho ↓, Arthur Martins ↑,
46', Nathan Mendes ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
46', Neris ↓, Cantalapiedra A. ↑,
54', Brendon ↓, Matheus Recife ↑,
62', Erick ↓, Marinho ↑,
69', Renato Kayzer ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
71', Junior Santos ↓, Wander ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Emmanuel Martinez ⚽,
78', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
78', Matheuzinho ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
78', Dodo ↓, Fabricio Neguinho ↑,
78', da Silva Freire M. V. ↓, Lucas Santos ↑,
80', Alan 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bahia de Feira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vitória is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
10.02.26	Vitória Salvador - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
07.02.26	Jequié - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador	5:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.02.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Vitória Salvador - Remo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLWW
- Bahia de Feira
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
11.02.26	Bahia de Feira - Barcelona de Ilhéus	6:1 ✺
03.02.26	Galícia - Bahia de Feira	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Jequié	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Porto SC	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
20.01.24	Vitória Salvador - Bahia de Feira	1:0
12.01.23	Bahia de Feira - Vitória Salvador	1:1
16.03.22	Vitória Salvador - Bahia de Feira	2:1
31.03.21	Bahia de Feira - Vitória Salvador	1:1
23.07.20	Vitória Salvador - Bahia de Feira	1:1
10.02.19	Bahia de Feira - Vitória Salvador	2:2
24.03.18	Vitória Salvador - Bahia de Feira	3:2

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