Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO MINEIRO - RELEGATION - ROUND 5

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Dr. Ronaldo Junqueira (Minas Gerais)

Referee: Luis A. (Bra)


	Caldense		Democrata SL

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.25	3.25	2
	2.76	3.26	2.4
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.38	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)	3.22 ↑ (3.03)	2.08 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldense
27.7%

Draw
28.3%

Democrata SL
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

30%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

29.3%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Democrata SL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Democrata SL than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Caldense - Democrata SL Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Caldense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Democrata SL will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Caldense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Democrata SL is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caldense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Democrata SL will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caldense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Caldense
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
26.03.23	Patrocinense - Caldense	1:0 ✺
22.03.23	Caldense - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Democrata SL - Caldense	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Pouso Alegre - Caldense	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Caldense - Ceará	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLTL
- Democrata de Sete Lagoas
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
18.03.23	Democrata SL - Caldense	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Patrocinense - Democrata SL	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Cruzeiro - Democrata SL	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Democrata SL - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Tombense - Democrata SL	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
18.03.23	Democrata SL - Caldense	1:0

Caldense - Democrata SL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide