Match Info

Date: 25 June 2022, Saturday


	Caldense		Pouso Alegre

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.1	1.73
	4.5	3	1.8
	4.5	3.05	1.72
	5.12	3.06	1.66
	4.75	3	1.7
	4.95	3.44	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (3.27)	3.11 ↑ (2.66)	1.72 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldense
18.9%

Draw
28.8%

Pouso Alegre
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

33.3%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

32.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caldense's form might have worsened.

Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pouso Alegre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caldense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pouso Alegre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	15.4%	53.8%

Caldense - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Caldense will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Pouso Alegre will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pouso Alegre: 26.7% – 80.9%.

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Preview

Caldense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pouso Alegre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Pouso Alegre is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pouso Alegre to win the game is with odds 1.88.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Caldense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Caldense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Caldense
Brazilian Serie D
18.06.22	URT - Caldense	3:2 ✺
11.06.22	Caldense - Nova Venécia	1:2 ✺
04.06.22	Ferroviária - Caldense	1:0 ✺
28.05.22	Caldense - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
22.05.22	Nova Venécia - Caldense	3:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
18.06.22	Bahia de Feira - Pouso Alegre	2:0 ✺
11.06.22	Pouso Alegre - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
05.06.22	Nova Venécia - Pouso Alegre	1:1 ✺
29.05.22	Pouso Alegre - Nova Venécia	1:1 ✺
21.05.22	Ferroviária - Pouso Alegre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.05.22	Pouso Alegre - Caldense	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
13.02.22	Caldense - Pouso Alegre	2:1
01.05.21	Pouso Alegre - Caldense	1:0 penalties
04.04.21	Pouso Alegre - Caldense	3:1

Caldense - Pouso Alegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide