Match Info

Date: 11 June 2022, Saturday


	Pouso Alegre		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.85	2.7
	2.5	3.15	2.6
	2.5	2.75	2.7
	2.51	2.86	2.66
	2.55	2.62	2.8
	2.54	2.95	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3.57)	2.86 ↑ (2.86)	2.71 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pouso Alegre
35.6%

Draw
31.3%

Ferroviária
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

31.4%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

34%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pouso Alegre's performance.

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviária might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pouso Alegre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviária could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	40%	53.3%

Pouso Alegre - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Pouso Alegre will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferroviária: 28.1% – 78.5%.

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Preview

Pouso Alegre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ferroviária is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Ferroviária have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pouso Alegre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
05.06.22	Nova Venécia - Pouso Alegre	1:1 ✺
29.05.22	Pouso Alegre - Nova Venécia	1:1 ✺
21.05.22	Ferroviária - Pouso Alegre	0:1 ✺
14.05.22	Pouso Alegre - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
07.05.22	Pouso Alegre - Caldense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWTW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie D
04.06.22	Ferroviária - Caldense	1:0 ✺
28.05.22	Caldense - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
21.05.22	Ferroviária - Pouso Alegre	0:1 ✺
14.05.22	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	Ferroviária - Noroeste	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.05.22	Ferroviária - Pouso Alegre	0:1

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