Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano		Villarrubia

	1	X	2
	2	2.98	3.6
	2.08	2.95	3.78
	2.08	2.9	3.63
	2.03	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2)	3 ↓ (3.1)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
44.5%

Draw
30.4%

Villarrubia
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

28.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Villarrubia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrubia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Alvarito ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 0, Adri Saez ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calvo Sotelo won 3.

Calvo Sotelo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Villarrubia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Calvo Sotelo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Calvo Sotelo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Calvo Sotelo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Calvo Sotelo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
01.11.25	Tarancón - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Pedroñeras	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sonseca - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villacañas	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Illescas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWWT
- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
01.11.25	Villarrubia - San Clemente	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Villarrubia - Illescas	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Manchego - Villarrubia	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Villarrubia - Villarrobledo	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Albacete B - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
13.04.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrubia	2:0
30.11.24	Villarrubia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	4:0
02.03.24	Villarrubia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:1
15.10.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrubia	0:0
16.04.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Villarrubia	1:0
Club Friendly
11.08.21	Villarrubia - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:0

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