Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 24

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Camacha		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.1	1.88
	3.8	3	1.88
	4.4	3.24	1.87
	4.15	3.4	1.82
	3.8	3.1	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.91)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camacha
22.9%

Draw
28.7%

Lusitânia
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

29%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.4%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camacha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+2%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs: )).

Camacha is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lusitânia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Camacha won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.03.23	Gondomar - Camacha	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Camacha - Salgueiros 08	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Rebordosa - Camacha	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Camacha - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Valadares Gaia - Camacha	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLL
- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.03.23	Lusitânia - Machico	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Leça - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Lusitânia - Castro Daire	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Beira-Mar - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Lusitânia - Marítimo B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Lusitânia - Camacha	2:1

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