Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 23

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Lusitânia		Machico

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.75	8.5
	1.23	4.7	8.5
	1.26	5.41	10.34
	1.28	5.15	9
	1.29	4.9	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	4.98 ↓ (5.01)	8.91 ↑ (7.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
71.6%

Draw
18.2%

Machico
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18.1%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.9%

16.6%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs) and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Lusitânia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Machico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lusitânia is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lusitânia to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Leça - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Lusitânia - Castro Daire	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Beira-Mar - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Lusitânia - Marítimo B	3:1 ✺
12.02.23	Guarda Desportiva - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Machico - Gondomar	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Salgueiros 08 - Machico	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Machico - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Alpendorada - Machico	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Machico - Valadares Gaia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Machico - Lusitânia	1:0

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