Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 15

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Camacha		Portosantense

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.6	5.5
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.56	3.67	6.18
	1.57	3.67	6.18
	1.55	3.7	5.5
	1.51	3.74	6.13
	1.54	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.68)	3.68 ↑ (3.47)	5.83 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camacha
59.4%

Draw
24.9%

Portosantense
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

21.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camacha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Portosantense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camacha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portosantense than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portosantense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Portosantense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Camacha is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Camacha won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.01.24	Marítimo B - Camacha	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Camacha - Pevidem	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Camacha	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Camacha - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.11.23	Camacha - Famalicão	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLWL
- CD Portosantense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
20.12.23	Portosantense - Vilar de Perdizes	2:2 ✺
17.12.23	Portosantense - Mirandela	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Dumiense - Portosantense	3:2 ✺
03.12.23	Portosantense - Os Sandinenses	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Limianos - Portosantense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
27.08.23	Portosantense - Camacha	2:1

Camacha - Portosantense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide