Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Camaiore		Follonica Gavorrano

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.41	2.39	Watch
	3.17	3.02	2.2
	2.6	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.6)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	2.3 (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camaiore
32.5%

Draw
28%

Follonica Gavorrano
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

26.9%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camaiore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camaiore than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Camaiore - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Giordani G. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Mutton C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Camaiore has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Follonica Gavorrano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camaiore Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
16.11.25	Tau Altopascio - Camaiore	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Camaiore - Scandicci	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Cannara - Camaiore	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Camaiore - Orvietana	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Camaiore - Montevarchi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
16.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Grosseto	2:4 ✺
09.11.25	Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Foligno	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Follonica Gavorrano	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Ghiviborgo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL

Camaiore - Follonica Gavorrano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide