The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Camaiore 27.6%
Draw 28.4%
Siena 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.5%
27.6%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
27.5%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camaiore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camaiore than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
The ML Model estimate for Siena aligns with the current prediction.
Camaiore - Siena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
84', 2 - 2, ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).
Siena is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs )
Camaiore has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Siena is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Siena could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Camaiore won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Siena
6
3
1
2
13:8
5
10
Last Results with these Odds
Siena - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 43.83%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.