Match Info

Date: 23 January 2021, Saturday


	Cambridge United		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.9
	2.45	3.25	2.8
	2.45	3.35	2.88
	2.41	3.15	2.85
	2.47	3.49	2.97
	2.45	3.2	2.8
	2.54	3.42	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.35)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.88 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
38.7%

Draw
28.4%

Bradford City
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

20.2%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambridge United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bradford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	12%	36%

Cambridge United - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Bradford will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to League One and 19).

Cambridge has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Bradford has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Bradford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cambridge have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League Two
19.01.21	Southend United - Cambridge United	1:2 ✺
16.01.21	Colchester United - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Oxford United - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
English League Two
09.01.21	Cambridge United - Harrogate Town	2:1 ✺
02.01.21	Grimsby Town - Cambridge United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLWW
- Bradford City
English League Two
29.12.20	Bradford City - Port Vale	0:0 ✺
26.12.20	Tranmere Rovers - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
22.12.20	Grimsby Town - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
19.12.20	Bradford City - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
15.12.20	Crawley Town - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.12.20	Bradford City - Cambridge United	1:0
15.02.20	Cambridge United - Bradford City	2:1
03.08.19	Bradford City - Cambridge United	0:0
English EFL Trophy
07.12.16	Bradford City - Cambridge United	1:0

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