Match Info

League One - Round 23

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: Valley Parade (Bradford)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Bradford City		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	4.5
	1.7	3.7	4.7
	1.69	3.85	4.72	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.6
	1.69	3.65	4.95	Watch
	1.69	3.66	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.86)	3.66 ↑ (3.32)	4.75 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford City
54.9%

Draw
25.5%

Port Vale
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

27.7%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

27%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bradford City's performance.

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	3.1%	6.2%

Bradford City - Port Vale Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Bradford (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Bradford (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bradford City will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bradford City will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Bradford (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Port Vale (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walker S. (G) 4. Wright J. 26. Tilt C. 18. Kelly C. 2. Halliday B. 6. Power M. (C) 21. Metcalfe J. 3. Touray I. 10. Sarcevic A. 17. Wright T. 11. Humphrys S.	13. Amos B. (G) 2. Clark M. 24. Kyle John 4. Heneghan B. 25. Humphreys C. 3. Headley J. 18. Croasdale R. 7. Byers G. (C) 26. Shipley J. 9. Stockley J. 44. Cole D.
Substitutes
5. Byrne N. 25. Hilton J. (G) 8. Kavanagh C. 20. Leigh T. 14. McIntyre T. 7. Neufville J. 24. Swan W.	11. Curtis R. 22. Debrah J. 36. Faal M. 46. Gauci J. (G) 33. Hall G. 19. Waine B. 12. Walters R.
Coaches
Alexander G.	Moore D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Kyle John 🟨,
14', Headley J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Stockley J. 🟨,
54', Tilt C. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Metcalfe J. ⚽,
77', Stockley J. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
78', Shipley J. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
88', Kyle John ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
90+5', Sarcevic A. 🟨,
90+8', Touray I. 🟨,
90+11', Wright T. ↓, McIntyre T. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Bradford is the team to beat.

There will not play in Bradford: Pennington M. (Injury) Powell N. (Inactive) Power M. (Yellow Cards) Richards L. (Injury)

There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Inactive) Gordon L. (Injury) Lawrence-Gabriel J. (Inactive) Ojo F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bradford: Cook A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Port Vale: Hall C. (Inactive) Johnson M. (Inactive) Kyle John (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bradford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Bradford City - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.42%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford City
English League One
26.12.25	Bradford City - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Leyton Orient - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bradford City - Reading	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL
- Port Vale
English League One
26.12.25	Huddersfield Town - Port Vale	5:0 ✺
20.12.25	Port Vale - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Luton Town - Port Vale	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Port Vale - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Port Vale - Barnsley	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.04.25	Port Vale - Bradford City	2:0
26.12.24	Bradford City - Port Vale	2:1
19.03.22	Bradford City - Port Vale	1:2
13.11.21	Port Vale - Bradford City	1:1
24.04.21	Port Vale - Bradford City	2:1
29.12.20	Bradford City - Port Vale	0:0
22.10.19	Bradford City - Port Vale	1:2

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