Match Info

League Two - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)


	Cambridge United		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.82	3.5	4.2
	1.68	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.68	3.76	5.26
	1.71	3.58	4.70	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.2
	1.63	3.77	5.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.82)	3.62 ↑ (3.54)	4.83 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
54.8%

Draw
25.9%

Harrogate Town
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.4%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Cambridge United - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eastwood J. (G) 2. Bennett L. 5. Morrison M. (C) 6. Watts K. 3. Purrington B. 21. McLoughlin S. 4. Ball D. 7. Brophy J. 14. Knight B. 11. Kaikai S. 9. Appere L.	31. Belshaw J. (G) 24. Cass L. 15. O'Connor A. 5. Bradbury T. 6. Burrell W. (C) 8. Morris B. 4. Evans J. 21. Taylor E. 22. Smith R. 11. Duke-McKenna S. 9. McCoulsky S.
Substitutes
26. Gibbons J. 38. Hoddle G. 25. Hughes B. (G) 23. Jobe M. 10. Kachunga E. 27. McConnell G. 17. Mpanzu P.	20. Faulkner B. 27. Fox B. 30. Gibson L. 19. Hill T. 14. McAleny C. 18. Muldoon J. 1. Oxley M. (G)
Coaches
Harris N.	Weaver S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Evans J. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Appere L. ⚽, Morrison M. (A),
39', Morrison M. ↓, Jobe M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Duke-McKenna S. ⚽, Cass L. (A),
66', Kaikai S. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
70', Knight B. 🟨,
74', Bennett L. ↓, Gibbons J. ↑,
74', McLoughlin S. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
78', Smith R. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
78', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
86', Evans J. ↓, Fox B. ↑,

Preview

Cambridge is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Harrogate has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Harrogate has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cambridge is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cambridge: Lavery S. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Harrogate: Sutton L. (Hamstring Injury) Thomson G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Harrogate Town - the odds 4.23 are the expected chance of winning is 22.09%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League Cup
12.08.25	Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United	0:2 ✺
English League Two
09.08.25	Swindon Town - Cambridge United	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Cambridge United - Cheltenham Town	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Cambridge United - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
15.07.25	Braintree Town - Cambridge United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWTW
- Harrogate Town
English League Cup
12.08.25	Harrogate Town - Lincoln City	1:3 ✺
English League Two
09.08.25	Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town	3:3 ✺
02.08.25	Bristol Rovers - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Harrogate Town - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Harrogate Town - Barnsley	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
30.04.21	Harrogate Town - Cambridge United	5:4
09.01.21	Cambridge United - Harrogate Town	2:1

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