Match Info

Paraibano - Round 5

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Campinense		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.82	2.98	2.4
	3.02	2.95	2.29
	2.98	3.01	2.35	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.45
	3.04	2.94	2.31
	3	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.22)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	2.34 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campinense
30.7%

Draw
30.7%

Botafogo PB
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

28.7%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

28.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campinense than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+5%)

Campinense - Botafogo PB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wallace (G) 2. Augusto Potiguar 3. Erik Henrique 10. Everton Heleno 6. Fernando Junior 4. Franklin 11. Joaozinho 5. Lidio 9. Miguel Souza 8. Patrik 7. Vitinho	1. Michael (G) 12. Erick 18. Giovanni 30. Guilherme Santos 9. Henrique Dourado 8. Igor Maduro 4. Marcio Silva 10. Nene 6. Patric Calmon 20. Thallyson 3. Yan Souto
Substitutes
12. Carlao 20. Elicley 18. Emerson Silva 14. Gabriel Yanno 26. Gean Junior 21. Helio Paraiba 25. Jackson 27. Joesley 19. Kaue 16. Matheus Silva 17. Pedrinho 15. Yuri Pedral	29. Anderson Chaves 11. Breiner C. 16. Bull 22. Dudu 37. Ed Carlos 14. Igor Morais 5. Jhonata Varela 33. Julio Vaz 15. Kayon 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 23. Max Walef (G) 2. Vitor Ricardo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Everton Heleno ⚽,
12', Lidio 🟨,
14', 2 - 0, Everton Heleno ⚽,
22', 3 - 0, Everton Heleno ⚽,
25', Everton Heleno 🟨,
35', Thallyson 🟨,
36', Guilherme Santos 🟨,
40', Erick 🟨,
42', Erik Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 4 - 0, Miguel Souza ⚽,
47', Marcio Silva ↓, Julio Vaz ↑,
47', Thallyson ↓, Jhonata Varela ↑,
47', Guilherme Santos ↓, Kayon ↑,
47', Giovanni ↓, Anderson Chaves ↑,
49', Patric Calmon 🟨,
57', Henrique Dourado 🟨,
67', Lidio ↓, Emerson Silva ↑,
67', Miguel Souza ↓, Kaue ↑,
70', Patrik 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 1, Nene ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Campinense won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Botafogo PB will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Campinense won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Campinense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campinense Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
28.01.26	Confiança PB - Campinense	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Pombal - Campinense	2:2 ✺
22.01.26	Campinense - Nacional de Patos	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Campinense - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.26	América RN - Campinense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLWT
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
28.01.26	Botafogo PB - Pombal	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Botafogo PB - Sousa	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Confiança PB - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Botafogo PB - Esporte de Patos	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	América RN - Botafogo PB	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWT?

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
09.02.25	Botafogo PB - Campinense	4:1
31.01.24	Campinense - Botafogo PB	0:0
Club Friendly
29.04.23	Botafogo PB - Campinense	2:0
22.04.23	Campinense - Botafogo PB	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
15.01.23	Botafogo PB - Campinense	2:2
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.22	Botafogo PB - Campinense	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
21.05.22	Campinense - Botafogo PB	1:0

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