Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Campinense		Paysandu

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Campinense
31.5%

Draw
30.7%

Paysandu
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

32.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

31.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campinense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paysandu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

Campinense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paysandu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campinense Clube
Brazilian Serie C
24.07.22	Altos - Campinense	1:0 ✺
16.07.22	Campinense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
09.07.22	Figueirense - Campinense	4:0 ✺
03.07.22	Campinense - Botafogo SP	1:3 ✺
26.06.22	EC São José Porto Alegre - Campinense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
25.07.22	Paysandu - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
17.07.22	Vitória Salvador - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
09.07.22	Paysandu - Confiança	1:0 ✺
03.07.22	Remo - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
26.06.22	Paysandu - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWTT

Campinense - Paysandu