Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 16

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Curuzu) (Belem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Paysandu		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.60	3.60	4.60
	1.58	3.55	4.95	Watch
	1.58	3.85	5.81
	1.59	3.85	5.47	Watch
	1.56	3.75	5.4
	1.65	3.67	5.25	Watch
	1.58	3.55	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	5.2 (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
57.5%

Draw
24.8%

Confiança
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Paysandu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Paysandu - Confiança Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Confiança will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 14. Bruno Bispo 8. Caio Mello 2. Edilson 9. Italo Carvalho 99. Lucas Cardoso 77. Luciano Taboca 10. Marcinho (C) 80. Pablo 44. Pedro Carrerette 39. Pedro Henrique	1. Matheus Silva (G) 3. Alisson 8. Guilherme Nunes 4. Icaro (C) 6. Kelvyn 9. Luiz Thiago 2. Mateus Ludke 11. Pedro Felipe 10. PK 5. Renilson 7. Valdir Junior
Substitutes
31. Bonifazi F. 23. Brian Macapa 90. Emerson 5. Henrico 1. Jean Drosny (G) 75. Kleiton Pego 4. larley Brito 26. Libonati 22. Lucas Rodrigues 20. Matheus Capixaba 30. Thalyson 19. Thayllon	21. Breiner C. 12. Cadu (G) 16. Danielzinho 18. Gabriel Zeca 20. Iago Silva 13. Joao Mandovani 17. Joao Pedro 15. Madison 22. Maikon Aquino 14. Matheus Juliao 19. Welder
Coaches
Junior Rocha	Alves Resende R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', Pablo 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Icaro ⚽,
45+3', Mateus Ludke 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pablo ↓, Thalyson ↑,
54', Kelvyn ↓, Matheus Juliao ↑,
54', Guilherme Nunes ↓, Madison ↑,
54', Luiz Thiago ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
58', Luciano Taboca ↓, Kleiton Pego ↑,
62', Matheus Silva 🟨,
72', PK ↓, Iago Silva ↑,
75', Pedro Felipe ↓, Gabriel Zeca ↑,
75', Lucas Cardoso ↓, Thayllon ↑,
81', 🟨,
86', Caio Mello ↓, Henrico ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Italo Carvalho ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Pedro Carrerette ⚽,
90+4', Marcinho 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Paysandu is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
26.07.26	Amazonas - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Paysandu - Guarani	3:2 ✺
05.07.26	Ypiranga - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Paysandu - Santa Cruz Recife	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Maranhão - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLW
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
25.07.26	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Botafogo PB - Confiança	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Confiança - Barra Santa Catarina	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:1 ✺
22.06.26	Confiança - Guarani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
26.08.23	Confiança - Paysandu	1:0
09.07.22	Paysandu - Confiança	1:0

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