Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday


	Paysandu		Figueirense

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.9	3.05	4
	1.88	3.2	3.8
	1.88	3.17	4.76
	1.88	3	3.8
	1.9	3.13	3.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.22)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	3.97 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
48%

Draw
29.2%

Figueirense
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

32.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paysandu's performance.

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Figueirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	13.3%	66.7%

Paysandu - Figueirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Figueirense will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Figueirense: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 2.

Paysandu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Figueirense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Figueirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paysandu is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
03.09.22	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Paysandu - ABC	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Vitória Salvador - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Paysandu - Floresta	0:1 ✺
06.08.22	Altos - Paysandu	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
03.09.22	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Figueirense - Vitória Salvador	5:1 ✺
20.08.22	ABC - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Figueirense - ABC	2:1 ✺
08.08.22	Botafogo PB - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
03.09.22	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:1
25.07.22	Paysandu - Figueirense	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
13.11.18	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:3
27.07.18	Paysandu - Figueirense	2:0
24.11.17	Figueirense - Paysandu	1:0
05.08.17	Paysandu - Figueirense	0:1
15.10.13	Figueirense - Paysandu	3:2

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