Match Info

Date: 26 June 2022, Sunday


	Paysandu		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.6	6
	1.5	3.55	6.2
	1.52	3.76	7.16
	1.47	3.4	6.5
	1.51	3.76	6.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.64)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	6.47 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
60.7%

Draw
25.2%

Brasil de Pelotas
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

26.2%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paysandu's performance.

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Paysandu - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 1.

Paysandu is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brasil de Pelotas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paysandu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paysandu is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Paysandu to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
18.06.22	Aparecidense - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
12.06.22	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
05.06.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Paysandu	1:2 ✺
30.05.22	Paysandu - Manaus	2:0 ✺
22.05.22	Paysandu - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWW
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie C
18.06.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
11.06.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Ypiranga	0:2 ✺
04.06.22	Mirassol - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0 ✺
28.05.22	ABC - Brasil de Pelotas	3:0 ✺
21.05.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.08.18	Brasil de Pelotas - Paysandu	0:0
28.04.18	Paysandu - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1
11.11.17	Paysandu - Brasil de Pelotas	2:3
22.07.17	Brasil de Pelotas - Paysandu	2:1
09.09.16	Paysandu - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1
31.05.16	Brasil de Pelotas - Paysandu	1:0

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