Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Campo Grande		Duque de Caxias

	1	X	2
	2.80	2.65	2.55
	2.75	2.82	2.45
	2.83	2.89	2.54
	2.50	2.65	2.85
	2.67	3.08	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.7)	2.82 ↓ (3)	2.6 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campo Grande
33.3%

Draw
32%

Duque de Caxias
34.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

30.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

30.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campo Grande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campo Grande than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+1%)

Campo Grande - Duque de Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 0 - 1, ⚽,
51', 🟥,
81', 🟥,
90+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion - Carioca B1 Playoffs - Semi - finals).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Campo Grande has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Duque de Caxias	9	6	1	2	15:6	9	19
7	Campo Grande	9	3	3	3	8:11	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campo Grande AC
Brazilian Carioca B1
10.10.26	Nova Cidade - Campo Grande	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Campo Grande - Petrópolis	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Serrano FC - Campo Grande	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Campo Grande - Macaé	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Artsul - Campo Grande	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTWL
- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Carioca B1
10.10.26	Duque de Caxias - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Goytacaz - Duque de Caxias	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Duque de Caxias - Niteroiense	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	São Cristóvão - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Carapebus Campos - Duque de Caxias	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
04.10.25	Duque de Caxias - Campo Grande	0:0

Campo Grande - Duque de Caxias