Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Campobasso		Fossombrone

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.33
	1.59	3.53	4.72
	1.53	3.5	5
	1.58	3.62	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.22)	3.56 ↑ (3.25)	4.81 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
56.4%

Draw
25.1%

Fossombrone
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.8%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Campobasso's performance.

Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fossombrone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Campobasso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fossombrone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Campobasso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Campobasso is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie D - Group F
05.11.23	Campobasso - Fano	1:0 ✺
01.11.23	Avezzano - Campobasso	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Campobasso - Tivoli Calcio	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Sora - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
18.10.23	Notaresco - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW
- FC Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.11.23	Fossombrone - L Aquila	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Chieti - Fossombrone	3:2 ✺
01.11.23	Fossombrone - Matese	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Notaresco - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Fossombrone - Termoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.26	Ravenna - Campobasso	✺

Campobasso - Fossombrone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide