Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Fossombrone		Termoli

	1	X	2
	2.16	3.50	2.89	Watch
	2.22	3.28	2.89
	2.2	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.16)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	2.89 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fossombrone
41.6%

Draw
26.9%

Termoli
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

25.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Termoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Fossombrone - Termoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 9).

Recent form of Fossombrone has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Termoli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fossombrone won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F
02.11.25	Sammaurese - Fossombrone	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Fossombrone - Notaresco	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Ostia Mare - Fossombrone	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Fossombrone - Teramo	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Fossombrone - Ancona	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL
- Termoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
02.11.25	Termoli - Maceratese	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Vigor Senigallia - Termoli	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Termoli - Chieti	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Giulianova - Termoli	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Notaresco - Termoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
19.01.25	Termoli - Fossombrone	0:1
22.09.24	Fossombrone - Termoli	0:0
25.02.24	Termoli - Fossombrone	3:0
22.10.23	Fossombrone - Termoli	1:0

Fossombrone - Termoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide