Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 9

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Optus Stadium (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	10 Play, Channel 10, Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Canal 11
Qatar	Al Kass Five, Shoof
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, SportKlub 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360, VieON
World	Onefootball


	Australia		Japan

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.75	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.75
	2.67	2.97	2.72	Watch
	2.75	3.11	2.83
	2.79	3.07	2.85	Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.86	3.03	2.69	Watch
	2.67	2.97	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.22)	3.02 ↓ (3.11)	2.76 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Australia
34.7%

Draw
31.2%

Japan
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

30.2%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Australia's performance.

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Japan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	56.7%	16.7%

Australia - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Australia will win (votes: 14 - 25.5%). Japan will win (votes: 9 - 16.4%). It will Tie (votes: 32 - 58.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45.2% – 71.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Australia (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Japan (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Tie (votes: 17 - 65.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Japan (2.01) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.53) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Australia (2.17) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Japan (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Japan (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 38 Selected Experts predict this event. Australia (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Japan (votes: 13 - 34.2%). Tie (votes: 17 - 44.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ryan M. (C) Lens 23. Circati A. Parma 2. Degenek M. TSC Backa Topola 21. Burgess C. Ipswich 3. Miller L. Hibernian 13. O'Neill A. New York City 17. Teague R. Melbourne Victory 16. Behich A. Melbourne City 6. Boyle M. Hibernian 8. Metcalfe C. St. Pauli 11. Borrello B. Western Sydney Wanderers	23. Tani K. (G) Machida Zelvia 2. Hiroki S. Reims 4. Watanabe T. Gent 16. Machida K. Royale Union SG 7. Fujita J. St. Truiden 8. Suzuki Y. Brondby 5. Sano K. Mainz 15. Kamada D. (C) Crystal Palace 11. Hirakawa Y. Bristol City 20. Tawaratsumida K. FC Tokyo 9. Ohashi Y. Blackburn
Substitutes
10. Arzani D. Melbourne Victory 5. Caceres A. Sydney FC 15. Duke M. Machida Zelvia 18. Gauci J. (G) Aston Villa 22. Geria J. Albirex Niigata 12. Izzo P. (G) Randers FC 14. McGree R. Middlesbrough 4. Rowles K. DC United 9. Taggart A. Perth Glory 20. Tilio M. Melbourne City 7. Trewin K. Melbourne City 19. Yazbek P. Nashville SC	6. Endo W. Liverpool 10. Kubo T. Real Sociedad 21. Kumasaka K. Kashiwa Reysol 18. Machino S. Holstein Kiel 14. Mito S. Sparta Rotterdam 17. Morishita R. Legia 13. Nakamura K. Reims 12. Osako K. (G) Sanfrecce Hiroshima 19. Sano K. Nijmegen 22. Seko A. Grasshoppers 1. Suzuki Z. (G) Parma 3. Takai K. Kawasaki Frontale
Coaches
Popovic T.	Moriyasu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Machida K. ↓, Seko A. ↑,
46', Boyle M. ↓, McGree R. ↑,
46', Teague R. ↓, Yazbek P. ↑,
64', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
64', Sano K. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
68', Borrello B. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
68', Miller L. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
70', Watanabe T. ↓, Takai K. ↑,
70', Ohashi Y. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
80', Metcalfe C. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Behich A. ⚽, McGree R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Australia won 0.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Australia won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Australia
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	China - Australia	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Australia - Indonesia	5:1 ✺
19.11.24	Bahrain - Australia	2:2 ✺
14.11.24	Australia - Saudi Arabia	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Japan - Australia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTTT
- Japan
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Japan - Saudi Arabia	0:0 ✺
20.03.25	Japan - Bahrain	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	China - Japan	1:3 ✺
15.11.24	Indonesia - Japan	0:4 ✺
15.10.24	Japan - Australia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
15.10.24	Japan - Australia	1:1
24.03.22	Australia - Japan	0:2
12.10.21	Japan - Australia	2:1
31.08.17	Japan - Australia	2:0
11.10.16	Australia - Japan	1:1
Friendly
18.11.14	Japan - Australia	2:1
EAFF E-1
25.07.13	Japan - Australia	3:2

Australia - Japan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide