The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Canberra United 21.5%
Draw 22.6%
Melbourne City 55.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.2%
22.4%
57.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
22.4%
57.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Canberra United - Melbourne City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. James S. (G) 8. Grove S. 12. Taylor-Young H. 28. Bertolissio T. 7. Hawkins E. 32. Gordon B. 3. Anton E. 11. Robers E. 33. Sasaki N. 6. Aulicino J. 23. Heyman M. (C)
24. Mieres M. (G) 8. Apostolakis A. 13. Stott R. (C) 5. Otto T. 3. Turner D. 6. McKenna L. 7. Butrus D. 18. Davidson L. 12. McMahon S. 11. Jackson D. 9. McNamara H.
Substitutes
13. Christopherson S. 19. Dale S. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 25. Malone D. 10. Stanic-Floody M. 5. Wardlow J.
23. Barbieri M. (G) 17. Jugovic K. 21. Keane A. 16. Roestbakken K. 15. Uchendu C. 2. Wilson E.
Coaches
Jagarinec A.
Matricciani M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Hawkins E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Hawkins E. ⚽, Sasaki N. (A),
59', 2 - 0, Heyman M. ⚽, Taylor-Young H. (A),
63', Butrus D. ↓, Roestbakken K. ↑,
63', Jackson D. ↓, Keane A. ↑,
68', Bertolissio T. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, McNamara H. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Hawkins E. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
74', Grove S. ↓, Christopherson S. ↑,
75', Christopherson S. 🟨,
76', Apostolakis A. 🟨,
76', Davidson L. ↓, Uchendu C. ↑,
79', Aulicino J. ↓, Wardlow J. ↑,
84', Jagarinec A. 🟨,
90+4', Heyman M. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 1.
Canberra United is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Melbourne City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Canberra United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of home games.
In this match, Melbourne City is the team to beat.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Canberra United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:36. (average 1.2:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Canberra United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).