Match Info

A-League Women - Round 6

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: The Home of the Matildas (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports Extra
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Melbourne Victory		Canberra United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	4.15	4.75	Watch
	1.6	4.34	4.93
	1.55	4.48	5.09	Watch
	1.53	3.9	4.8
	1.51	4.2	4.97	Watch
	1.5	4.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)	4.26 ↑ (4)	4.88 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Victory
59.7%

Draw
21.5%

Canberra United
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

22.9%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Canberra United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Melbourne Victory - Canberra United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Melbourne Victory (1.81) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Newbon C. (G) 3. Bunge C. 81. Maher G. 18. Morrison K. (C) 19. McMeeken Z. 10. Pollicina R. 5. Sakalis S. 66. Jancevski A. 23. Lowe R. 16. White K. 9. Furphy H.	1. James S. (G) 8. Grove S. 12. Taylor-Young H. 28. Bertolissio T. 11. Robers E. 32. Gordon B. 3. Anton E. 19. Dale S. 33. Sasaki N. 6. Aulicino J. 23. Heyman M. (C)
Substitutes
27. Curtis R. 7. O'Grady E. 24. Pickett L. 6. Ray T. 28. Techera S. 30. Woodward P. (G)	13. Christopherson S. 7. Hawkins E. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 25. Malone D. 10. Stanic-Floody M. 5. Wardlow J.
Coaches
Hopkins J.	Jagarinec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, White K. ⚽, Furphy H. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Sasaki N. ⚽, Gordon B. (A),
44', Maher G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Dale S. ↓, Hawkins E. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Grove S. ⚽, Hawkins E. (A),
57', Robers E. ↓, Wardlow J. ↑,
64', Taylor-Young H. ↓, Christopherson S. ↑,
68', Maher G. ↓, Ray T. ↑,
73', Sakalis S. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
76', Aulicino J. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Morrison K. (Own goal),
89', McMeeken Z. ↓, Techera S. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 4.

Melbourne Victory has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Melbourne Victory may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Melbourne Victory is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Victory Women
Australian A-League Women
30.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	1:4 ✺
01.11.25	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWL
- Canberra United
Australian A-League Women
22.11.25	Canberra United - Perth Glory	3:0 ✺
14.11.25	Adelaide United - Canberra United	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Wellington Phoenix - Canberra United	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Canberra United - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Central Coast Mariners - Canberra United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
09.03.25	Melbourne Victory - Canberra United	2:0
21.12.24	Canberra United - Melbourne Victory	0:2
20.01.24	Canberra United - Melbourne Victory	2:3
16.12.23	Melbourne Victory - Canberra United	2:0
18.03.23	Canberra United - Melbourne Victory	1:1
30.12.22	Melbourne Victory - Canberra United	1:0
04.03.22	Melbourne Victory - Canberra United	0:0

Melbourne Victory - Canberra United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide