Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Cantolao		Comerciantes Belén

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.93
	4.2	3.35	1.77
	5.31	3.36	1.72
	4.49	3.5	1.8
	4.05	3.44	1.78
	4.1	3.3	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.53)	3.36 ↑ (3.29)	1.79 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cantolao
21.5%

Draw
27.3%

Comerciantes Belén
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

27.5%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Cantolao - Comerciantes Belén Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Comerciantes (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Razzeto S. (G) 3. Baylon F. 15. Cordova J. 24. Delgado V. 20. Gomez J. 5. Herrera L. 8. Lara J. 25. Laura A. (C) 7. Lopez Y. 30. Ruiz C. 4. Valenzuela R.	13. Garcia A. (G) 34. Bosmediano J. 28. Chipao R. 19. Dominguez J. 32. Flores A. 7. Hurtado C. 31. Navarro J. 5. Pinedo D. 33. Valdeblanquez J. 16. Valverde M. 9. Zambrano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Lopez Y. ⚽,
42', Valverde M. 🟨,
42', Gomez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hurtado C. ↓, Lemos M. ↑,
46', Bosmediano J. ↓, Mena Y. ↑,
52', Valenzuela R. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Lemos M. (Pen),
59', 🟨,
61', Valdeblanquez J. 🟨,
66', Ruiz C. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
72', Laura A. 🟨,
76', Chipao R. 🟨,
77', Herrera L. ↓, Cabello D. ↑,
83', Valenzuela R. 🟨,
85', Dominguez J. 🟨,
88', Valverde M. ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
88', Zambrano J. ↓, Vasquez J. ↑,
90+3', Navarro J. ↓, Vela P. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).

Cantolao is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Comerciantes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Comerciantes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cantolao won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cantolao won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 2
25.05.25	Universidad San Martín - Cantolao	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Cantolao - Santos	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Cantolao	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Cantolao - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
25.04.25	Deportivo Coopsol - Cantolao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
25.05.25	Comerciantes Belén - Santos	3:2 ✺
18.05.25	Comerciantes Belén - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Comerciantes Belén - Deportivo Coopsol	4:0 ✺
26.04.25	Moquegua - Comerciantes Belén	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
13.04.25	Comerciantes Belén - Cantolao	2:0
27.09.24	Cantolao - Comerciantes Belén	3:1
01.09.24	Comerciantes Belén - Cantolao	0:0
22.07.24	Comerciantes Belén - Cantolao	2:0
01.06.24	Cantolao - Comerciantes Belén	1:2

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