Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 30

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
South-africa	SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4


	Cape Town Spurs		Durban City

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.65	3.8
	2.03	2.85	3.9
	1.97	2.97	3.73
	2.03	2.95	3.89	Watch
	2.02	2.84	3.97	Watch
	2.03	2.85	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (4.35)	2.85 ↓ (3.35)	3.87 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cape Town Spurs
44.8%

Draw
31.8%

Durban City
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

27.4%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

26.8%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cape Town Spurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cape Town Spurs's performance.

Durban City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Durban City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Town Spurs than the current prediction. (-24.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cape Town Spurs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (+29.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Durban City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cape Town Spurs - Durban City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Gamildien R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cape Town Spurs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cape Town Spurs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Cape Town Spurs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cape Town Spurs
South African First Division
11.05.25	Hungry Lions - Cape Town Spurs	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	Cape Town Spurs - University of Pretoria	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Casric Stars - Cape Town Spurs	0:0 ✺
22.04.25	Cape Town Spurs - Pretoria Callies	4:0 ✺
11.04.25	Cape Town Spurs - Orbit College	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLTWT
- Durban City
South African First Division
11.05.25	Durban City - Black Leopards	3:2 ✺
07.05.25	Durban City - Milford	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	JDR Stars - Durban City	0:3 ✺
25.04.25	Durban City - Pretoria Callies	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Highbury - Durban City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
27.09.24	Durban City - Cape Town Spurs	1:0
14.06.23	Durban City - Cape Town Spurs	0:0
03.06.23	Cape Town Spurs - Durban City	1:0

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