Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 28

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	JDR Stars		Durban City

	1	X	2
	3	2.75	2.35
	3.05	2.85	2.36
	3.11	2.92	2.46
	3.06	2.91	2.4	Watch
	3.11	2.8	2.38
	3.05	2.85	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.7)	2.85 ↓ (3)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JDR Stars
29.8%

Draw
32%

Durban City
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

30.2%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

30.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JDR Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Durban City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JDR Stars than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

JDR Stars - Durban City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Gamildien R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, ⚽,
72', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, JDR Stars won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, JDR Stars won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JDR Stars
South African First Division
26.04.25	Hungry Lions - JDR Stars	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	JDR Stars - Kruger United	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Upington City - JDR Stars	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Baroka - JDR Stars	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	JDR Stars - Milford	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTTLT
- Durban City
South African First Division
25.04.25	Durban City - Pretoria Callies	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Highbury - Durban City	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	University of Pretoria - Durban City	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Durban City - Upington City	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Leruma United - Durban City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
08.11.24	Durban City - JDR Stars	5:2
19.05.24	JDR Stars - Durban City	1:2
27.10.23	Durban City - JDR Stars	0:1

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