Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 29

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Durban City		Black Leopards

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	3.8
	1.86	3.15	4
	1.94	3.15	4.16
	1.9	3.19	4.04	Watch
	1.87	3.13	4.13
	1.86	3.15	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 (1.88)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	4.02 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durban City
48.5%

Draw
28.8%

Black Leopards
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.8%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durban City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Black Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Black Leopards than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Durban City - Black Leopards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Maseko S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
65', 2 - 0, Kamatuka J. ⚽,
67', 3 - 0, Magawana S. ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durban City won 1.

Recent performances by Durban City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Black Leopards is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Durban City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Durban City is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Durban City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Durban City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Durban City
South African First Division
07.05.25	Durban City - Milford	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	JDR Stars - Durban City	0:3 ✺
25.04.25	Durban City - Pretoria Callies	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Highbury - Durban City	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	University of Pretoria - Durban City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLT
- Black Leopards
South African First Division
03.05.25	Casric Stars - Black Leopards	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Milford - Black Leopards	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Black Leopards - Highbury	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Kruger United - Black Leopards	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	Black Leopards - Venda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
26.10.24	Black Leopards - Durban City	2:1
15.12.23	Durban City - Black Leopards	1:2
31.10.23	Black Leopards - Durban City	1:0
South African Premier Soccer League
02.03.21	Durban City - Black Leopards	1:0
21.11.20	Black Leopards - Durban City	1:0
16.08.20	Black Leopards - Durban City	3:2
28.08.19	Durban City - Black Leopards	0:1

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