Match Info

Date: 16 March 2021, Tuesday


	Cape Umoya United		University of Pretoria

	1	X	2
	2.56	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.48)	2.85 ↓ (3.02)	2.9 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cape Umoya United
36%

Draw
32.3%

University of Pretoria
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

30.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

21.8%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cape Umoya United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

University of Pretoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cape Umoya United than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cape Umoya United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of Pretoria than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that University of Pretoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

University of Pretoria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cape Umoya United won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cape Umoya United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cape Umoya United
South African First Division
12.03.21	Steenberg United - Cape Umoya United	2:1 ✺
05.03.21	Cape Umoya United - Uthongathi	0:2 ✺
12.02.21	Cape Umoya United - Pretoria Callies	0:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
07.02.21	Moroka Swallows - Cape Umoya United	1:0 ✺
South African First Division
27.01.21	University of Pretoria - Cape Umoya United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT
- University of Pretoria FC
South African First Division
13.03.21	University of Pretoria - Sekhukhune United	0:0 ✺
06.03.21	Polokwane City - University of Pretoria	1:0 ✺
20.02.21	University of Pretoria - Cape Town Spurs	2:0 ✺
13.02.21	University of Pretoria - Cape Town All Stars	0:1 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
06.02.21	JDR Stars - University of Pretoria	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
27.01.21	University of Pretoria - Cape Umoya United	1:1
26.08.20	University of Pretoria - Cape Umoya United	0:0
14.09.19	Cape Umoya United - University of Pretoria	0:1
05.05.19	University of Pretoria - Cape Umoya United	0:6
21.12.18	Cape Umoya United - University of Pretoria	3:1

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